实用医学杂志 ›› 2023, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (10): 1274-1277.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006⁃5725.2023.10.015

• 临床研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

肾组织病理积分联合肾衰竭风险方程在预测中晚期IgA肾病进展风险中的应用 

姚晓甜 杨满球 杨小兵    

  1. Department of Nephrology,Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University,Guangzhou 510515,China 
  • 出版日期:2023-05-25 发布日期:2023-05-25
  • 通讯作者: 杨小兵 E⁃mail:yxb7829@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:81970666) 

Adding MEST ⁃C score to the kidney failure risk equation improved risk prediction in advanced IgA nephropathy 

YAO Xiaotian,YANG Manqiu,YANG Xiaobing.    

  1. 南方医科大学南方医院肾内科、国家肾脏病临床医学研究中心(广州510515)
  • Online:2023-05-25 Published:2023-05-25
  • Contact: YANG Xiaobing E⁃mail:yxb7829@163.com

摘要:

目的 探讨在肾衰竭风险方程(KFRE)基础上,增加肾组织病理积分(MEST⁃C)能否进一步 提高中晚期 IgA 肾病进展风险的预测效能,改善该类疾病的进展风险分层。方法 前瞻性队列研究,共纳 入 205 例基线 eGFR 15 ~ 59 mL/(min·m2 )原发性 IgA 肾病患者,按临床诊疗常规每 1 ~ 3 个月随访 1 次肾功 能。全部病例按 4 变量/8 变量 KFRE 计算 2 年终末期肾脏病(ESRD)进展风险。每个病例的活检肾组织由 独立病理医生按国际指南中的 IgA 肾病牛津病理分型(MEST⁃C)进行分级。ESRD 定义为需接受维持性透 析治疗或接受肾移植。采用 AUC、NRI 等指标评估 KFRE 和 MEST⁃C 单独或联合对中晚期 IgA 肾病 2 年内 进展至 ESRD 的预测效能和风险分层改善度。结果 205 例患者中,共 38 例(18.5%)在 2 年内进入 ESRD 终点。4 变量 KFRE 预测中晚期 IgA 肾病进展风险的 AUC 为 0.81(95%CI:0.73 ~ 0.89),8 变量 KFRE 预测效 能 AUC 为 0.79(95%CI:0.71 ~ 0.87),MEST⁃C 预测效能 AUC 0.74(95%CI:0.64 ~ 0.83)。增加 MEST⁃C 至 4 变 量 KFRE 进一步提高总体 AUC 至 0.85(95%CI:0.78 ~ 0.91),且能显著改善中晚期 IgA 肾病 2 年内进入 ESRD 风险分层(NRI 0.47,P = 0.006)。结论 4 变量 KFRE 预测中晚期 IgA 肾病进展风险效能良好,增加 肾组织病理分级MEST⁃C 有助于进一步提高预测效能,改善IgA 肾病进展至ESRD 的风险分层。 

关键词: 肾衰竭风险方程, IgA 肾病, 肾组织病理分型, 进展, 终末期肾脏病

Abstract:

Objective To investigate whether adding renal histological score(MEST ⁃ C)to the Kidney Failure Risk Equation(KFRE)could improve predicting the risk of progression in advanced IgA nephropathy. Methods This was a prospective cohort study in which 205 patients with advanced IgA nephropathy[15 ~ 59 mL/ (min·m2 )]were enrolled and followed up to 2 years. The timepoint of renal biopsy was defined as baseline. The 4⁃variable/8⁃variable KFRE was used to estimate 2⁃year risk of progression to end stage renal disease(ESRD, defined as need for receiving maintenance dialysis or renal transplantation). AUCs were calculated to evaluate the performance of risk prediction using KFRE and MEST⁃C alone or in combination. Risk classification for progression to ESRD was assessed by net reclassification index(NRI)and integrate discrimination index(IDI). Results Among 205 patients with advanced IgA nephropathy,38(18.5%)progressed to ESRD within 2 years of follow up. The 4⁃ variable KFRE predicted the progression of advanced IgA nephropathy with an AUC of 0.81(95%CI:0.73 ~ 0.89),while the 8⁃variable KFRE with an AUC of 0.79(95%CI:0.71⁃0.87),the MEST⁃C with an AUC of 0.74 (95%CI:0.64 ~ 0.83). Adding MEST⁃C to the 4⁃variable KFRE produced an overall AUC of 0.85(95%CI:0.78 ~ 0.91)and significant improvement for risk classification for ESRD(NRI,0.47 and IDI 0.05). Conclusion Adding renal histological score to the Kidney Failure Risk Equation improved risk prediction and reclassification of progression to ESRD in patients with advanced IgA nephropathy 

Key words: kidney failure risk equation, IgA nephropathy, histological score, progression, end stage renal disease